Friday, August 7, 2009

A time to learn!

A time to learn!
The Economic Times, ET Realty, August 07, 2009, Page 17

Recession was necessary in our overindulgent times, and has done a great deal of good to the real estate sector in India. The end user has benefited the most during this period. ET Realty argues

Namrata Kohli

Arti Khanna, a senior executive with a leading MNC, equates recession with the medicine that people initially complain 'is bitter', but in the end, come out far healthier and are better off for it. More cautious spending and greater saving by consumers, more prudence by lenders, shift in focus from premium to lower- and mid-end segment of housing by developers, is exactly what our economy needed for its long-term health and recession is having the desired impact.

Arti reminisces how they saw bad times during the dot-com bubble in 2001, and yet how the younger generation continues to be over indulgent, leading a hedonistic way of life and not paying heed to saving money. Arti says, "In many ways it brings the much needed discipline to people's way of life, while for corporates across various sectors, there are many positive ripple effects - for instance it allows people to analyse and identify their core competencies. It also helps in rebuilding focus, pruning tangential activities to achieve cost controls, which help in creating more effective systems and processes. And, it forces people to come up with innovative ways of handling problems, something mandatory for survival."

Among the three most affected - end users, investors, developers - surely, the end user has benefited the most during this period.

The end user has benefited as, finally, the supply chain started addressing the real demand in market - mid-end and affordable housing. Earlier, developers in their greed to garner higher profit margins, focused primarily on premium housing. But now, suddenly, the supply is shifting where the demand is. Even well known developers like Unitech, DLF, Raheja, Jaypee and Omaxe, primarily engaged in raising high-end homes, have begun talking of affordable options.

Recession has also been a time to introspect for everybody. "It has been a good learning experience, though not a pleasant one," says Samir Chopra, CMD of RE/MAX India, (RE/MAX is a global network of real estate agents operating in 70 countries). "There have been things to learn, relearn and unlearn for all the three - end users, investors and developers. Consumers have become more vigilant in transactions, and they are more thorough about both the market situation and their own needs. They are beginning to learn how to investigate and research before spending their lifelong savings. Investors have also become more conscious. They are more careful about spending huge sums of money in development and are looking for other avenues for investment in the real estate sector. They have become more delivery oriented, innovative and price conscious in this volatile market. They have learnt from the difficult times, reduced prices, and learnt to make more beneficial offers to consumers."

While at a superficial level investors may seem to be winners with recession giving them an opportunity to pick investments at more realistic prices, recession has also seen them investing less. According to investor Shalabh Bhasin, director of Kshitij Portfolio Services Pvt Ltd, "The recession period has seen me investing less in property market because the previous prices where unduly inflated and even now it can't be said with surety that the prices have bottomed out. Also, most of the investors were already stuck with loads of investment at higher prices, so there was not enough liquidity for further purchases."

Citing examples, he says he had invested in Parsvnath Panchkula flats at Rs 3,250/sq ft and Parsvnath Dharuhera flats at Rs 1,800/sq ft, but there is no buyer in these projects and three years on, the builder is yet to start construction. But on the upside, the investor is now carefully assessing a project and is no longer fooled by lucrative promos and advertising of the property.

As for developers, on the face of it, they may seem to be the biggest losers with the fund flow nearly stopping and sales drying up. But recession has been a blessing in disguise as it has forced them to innovate to cut costs, improve sales and raise funds. Recession has seen developers changing their product and strategies.

According to Mohammad Asif, chief operating officer of High Street Capital, "The shift in strategy is in terms of market focus, product size, pricing and promotion. In residential sector, they have started focusing more on affordable and mass housing. Today's market is customer driven and developers are offering suitable payment plans and other freebies like sharing of stamp duty and housing loan EMI burden to ensure transactions. In commercial segment, the decline in demand from IT/ITeS sector has forced them to look at other business sectors such as logistics, biotechnology, hardware, pharmaceuticals, tourism and education. In the retail segment, instead of fixed rentals, revenue sharing model is becoming a common practice. Developers have also been forced to work out an optimal tenantmix strategy and work on new project design to reduce operating costs. In hospitality sector, the focus now is more on budget hotels and services apartments."

Overall, recession has been a time to innovate. In a price sensitive market, the effort has to be to reduce cost, and to achieve this, both the construction cost and land cost have to come down.

FOCAL POINT

Recession helps in rebuilding focus, pruning tangential activities to achieve cost controls, which help in creating more effective systems and processes The end user has benefited as the supply chain started addressing the real demand in market - affordable housing. Well known developers are now catering to this demand

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